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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | MK Dons |
42.34% ( 0.01) | 24.74% ( -0) | 32.92% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.86% ( 0) | 45.13% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.51% ( 0) | 67.48% ( -0.01) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.63% ( 0.01) | 21.36% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.66% ( 0.01) | 54.33% ( -0.01) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% ( -0.01) | 26.36% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.48% ( -0.01) | 61.51% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | MK Dons |
2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 42.34% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 32.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |