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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | MK Dons |
42.34% ( 0.01) | 24.74% ( -0) | 32.92% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.9% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.86% ( 0) | 45.13% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.51% ( 0) | 67.48% ( -0.01) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.63% ( 0.01) | 21.36% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.66% ( 0.01) | 54.33% ( -0.01) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.63% ( -0.01) | 26.36% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.48% ( -0.01) | 61.51% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | MK Dons |
2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 42.34% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 32.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |