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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Gillingham |
56.96% ( 0.01) | 21.53% ( -0) | 21.5% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 58.98% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.78% ( 0) | 39.22% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.45% | 61.55% ( 0) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.38% ( 0) | 13.62% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.23% ( 0) | 40.77% ( -0) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.27% ( -0) | 31.72% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.85% ( -0.01) | 68.14% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Gillingham |
2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 8.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.76% 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.84% 4-2 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.46% Total : 56.96% | 1-1 @ 9.89% 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.32% 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.96% 0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.59% Total : 21.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 31 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 29 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |