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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Gillingham

Wrexham
2 - 0
Gillingham

Palmer (1'), Tozer (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Gillingham

Goals have been at a premium for Gillingham away from home so far this season, but they will hope to have more joy in the final third against a leaky Wrexham backline on Saturday. The Red Dragons should ultimately have enough quality in attack to outscore their opponents, though, en route to claiming maximum points in Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawGillingham
56.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 21.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 21.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 58.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.78% (0.0019999999999953 0)39.22% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.45%61.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.38% (0.0019999999999953 0)13.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.72% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.85% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)68.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 56.96%
    Gillingham 21.5%
    Draw 21.53%
WrexhamDrawGillingham
2-1 @ 9.86%
1-0 @ 8.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.76%
4-1 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.84%
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 56.96%
1-1 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.32%
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.96%
0-2 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 21.5%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Gillingham

Wrexham
100%
Draw
0.0%
Gillingham
0.0%
15
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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