MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:09:18| >> :120:86396:86396:
Newport County
FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Barnet

Newport
1 - 1
Barnet

FT(HT: 1-0)
Collinge (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Newport County and Barnet, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Newport
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Wealdstone 3-2 Barnet
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League

We said: Newport County 3-1 Barnet

While Barnet are in the midst of a rut in their league campaign, they do still have the tools to pose a threat to Newport County, particularly going forward. We anticipate them causing problems for the Exiles but ultimately see the hosts booking their place in the third round given their superior quality all over the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawBarnet
40.51% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 24.04% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 35.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 61.09% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)41.27% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.34% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)63.66% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.44% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)20.56% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (-0.061 -0.06)53.08% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)23.1% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)56.94% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 40.51%
    Barnet 35.44%
    Draw 24.03%
Newport CountyDrawBarnet
2-1 @ 8.71%
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.94% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 40.51%
1-1 @ 11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.03%
1-2 @ 8.07%
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 35.44%

How you voted: Newport vs Barnet

Newport County
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
Barnet
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2018 3pm
Nov 21, 2017 7.45pm
Newport
1-2
Barnet
White (73')
Amond (45'), Butler (53'), O'Brien (70'), Nouble (86')
Akinde (88'), Coulthirst (90')
Santos (44')
Jan 21, 2017 3pm
Oct 25, 2016 7.45pm
Newport
2-2
Barnet
Tozer (33'), Rigg (89' pen.)
Randall (18'), Tozer (62'), Myrie-Williams (92')
Akinde (76', 85')
N'Gala (58'), Nicholls (68'), Akinde (81')
Mar 8, 2016 7.45pm
Newport
0-3
Barnet

Holmes (23'), Davies (74')
Yiadom (9'), Randall (45'), Jones (69' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!