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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Wrexham |
41.74% ( 0.01) | 23.08% ( -0) | 35.18% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 64.68% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.44% ( 0.01) | 36.56% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.29% ( 0.01) | 58.71% ( -0.01) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.96% ( 0.01) | 18.04% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.06% ( 0.01) | 48.94% ( -0.02) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.92% ( -0) | 21.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.11% ( -0) | 53.89% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Wrexham |
2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.51% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.85% Total : 41.74% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2% Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |