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Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Notts County
0 - 2
Wrexham


Crowley (28'), Jones (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lee (73'), Palmer (76')
Jones (7'), Mullin (37'), McClean (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 3-0 Newport
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Sutton
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 3-2 Wrexham

Last season's two meetings between Notts County and Wrexham were won by the home side on the day, and we believe that the Magpies will make full use of home advantage to claim a narrow victory over the Welsh side . Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.51%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawWrexham
41.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.08% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 35.18% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 64.68% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.44% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)36.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.29% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)58.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.96% (0.007000000000005 0.01)18.04% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.06% (0.012 0.01)48.94% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)53.89% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 41.74%
    Wrexham 35.18%
    Draw 23.07%
Notts CountyDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 41.74%
1-1 @ 10.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 2%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.07%
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 35.18%

How you voted: Notts County vs Wrexham

Notts County
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
Wrexham
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 43
Wrexham
3-2
Notts County
Mullin (48'), Mendy (69'), Lee (78')
Bostock (45+4'), Cameron (75')
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Notts County
3-1
Wrexham
Wootton (10' pen., 39'), Richardson (67')
Cameron (17'), Smith (49'), Lacey (75')
Hall-Johnson (4')
Hosannah (21'), Tozer (68'), Hayden (68')
Lennon (9')
Aug 30, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Wrexham
1-1
Notts County
Mullin (53')
Davies (65')
Wootton (44')
Francis (52'), O'Brien (55'), Roberts (64'), Rodrigues (85')
May 18, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Wrexham
0-1
Notts County

Omotayo (75')
Reeves (27')
Rodrigues (24'), Wootton (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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