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[monks data]
Attendance: 35,162
Leeds logo
Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2020 at 3pm UK
 
Wigan logo

0-1

FT(HT: 0-0)
Hernandez (59' og.)

Preview: Leeds United vs. Wigan Athletic: prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews the Championship clash between Leeds United and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

League leaders Leeds United host relegation-threatened Wigan Athletic at Elland Road on Saturday as they look to keep their place at the top of the Championship table.

Both sides won last time out to end runs of three straight losses in all competitions and will be looking to gain some momentum in this fixture.


Match preview

Leeds United's Helder Costa celebrates scoring their first goal on December 29, 2019© Reuters

Leeds came back from a 2-0 half-time deficit to beat Millwall 3-2 and arrest a recent decline in form, while also exacting revenge for their controversial 2-1 loss in the reverse fixture.

The victory ends a run of three successive defeats in all competitions and three league outings without a win that has seen their once-considerable gap to the playoff-chasing pack close dramatically.

However, they still sit atop the pile, two points ahead of nearest rivals West Bromwich Albion and four points clear of third-placed Nottingham Forest.

Leeds still boast the third-best attack and the second-best defensive records in the division and may feel confident of making it two wins on the trot against a Wigan side that find themselves in the relegation zone.

Marcelo Bielsa's side triumphed 2-0 over a 10-man Wigan outfit earlier in the campaign and a repeat of that result would be ideal to keep their title ambitions on track.

Paul Cook's men, however, dented Sheffield Wednesday's playoff hopes in a shock 2-1 victory in their last outing and should not be underestimated.

Charlton Athletic's continued decline and descent towards the relegation zone give Wigan a very real possibility of escaping from the bottom three and they will be keen to put together a strong run of form in order to capitalise on that.

Following a 13-game winless run across all competitions, Wigan have now won two of their last four in the league and are showing signs of improvement.

Leeds United Championship form: DWDLLW
Leeds United form (all competitions): WDLLLW

Wigan Athletic Championship form: DLWLLW
Wigan Athletic form (all competitions): LWLLLW


Team News

Wigan Athletic manager Paul Cook pictured on January 1, 2020© Reuters

Leeds boss Bielsa's injury list is growing shorter by the day as he welcomes players back into the fold.

Midfielder Adam Forshaw has returned to training, although he may not be risked for the clash against Wigan.

Meanwhile, left-back Barry Douglas is the only player to be ruled out completely with injury, while Kalvin Phillips remains suspended.

For Wigan, head coach Cook also does not have too many injury issues to deal with.

Dujon Sterling and Charlie Mulgrew are both expected to miss the contest, while Danny Fox will be assessed.

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Casilla; Ayling, White, Cooper, Alioski; Klich; Costa, Dallas, Hernandez, Harrison; Bamford

Wigan Athletic possible starting lineup:
Marshall; Byrne, Kipre, Naismith, Robinson; Morsy, Evans; Dowell, Gelhardt, Lowe; Moore


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Leeds United 2-1 Wigan Athletic

Both teams are in a similar vein of form, but the league leaders, with home advantage, are a superior side and should have too much for Wigan on this occasion.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for had a probability of 15.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a win it was 0-1 (4.4%).


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Sheffield Wednesday manager Garry Monk pictured in January 2020
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
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4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
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