Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 45.81%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.96%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.