Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 13, 2025 at 2.05am UK
Estadio Jalisco
Atlas2 - 3Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atlas 1-1 Juarez
Sunday, April 6 at 12am in Liga MX
Sunday, April 6 at 12am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Toluca 2-1 Santos Laguna
Monday, April 7 at 1am in Liga MX
Monday, April 7 at 1am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Atlas win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlas | Draw | Toluca |
28.18% ( 0.13) | 24.04% ( 0.05) | 47.78% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.72% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.77% ( -0.11) | 44.23% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.39% ( -0.11) | 66.61% ( 0.11) |
| Atlas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.95% ( 0.04) | 29.05% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.04% ( 0.05) | 64.96% ( -0.05) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.35% ( -0.11) | 18.65% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.04% ( -0.19) | 49.96% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
Atlas 28.19%
Toluca 47.78%
Draw 24.03%
| Atlas | Draw | Toluca |
| 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 28.19% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 47.78% |
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 12am
Feb 2, 2023 2.05am
Gameweek 1
Atlas
0-0
Toluca
Jul 10, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 2
Toluca
3-2
Atlas
