MX23RW : Friday, May 9 18:40:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Sep 29, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
4 - 1
Atlas

Paulinho (33'), Helinho (40'), Violante (54', 61')
Garcia (62'), Paulinho (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rocha (78')
Nervo (90+3')
Durdevic (90+9')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atlas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Santos Laguna 2-0 Toluca
Monday, September 23 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Atlas

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 0-1 Queretaro
Saturday, September 21 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for an Atlas win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawAtlas
62.66% (0.038000000000004 0.04) 21.16% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 16.18% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.41% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)45.83% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)68.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.97% (0.012 0.01)14.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.42% (0.028999999999996 0.03)41.57% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.63% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)41.37% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.11% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)77.88% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 62.65%
    Atlas 16.18%
    Draw 21.15%
TolucaDrawAtlas
1-0 @ 11.39%
2-0 @ 11.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.86%
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 62.65%
1-1 @ 10.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.15%
0-1 @ 5.12% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.26% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 16.18%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 14
Toluca
4-1
Atlas
Pereira (5'), Vega (35'), Angulo (67'), Lopez (90+3')
Zapata (90+2')
Lozano (87')
Marquez (45+3'), Murillo (77'), Murillo (85')
Aug 27, 2023 12am
Gameweek 6
Atlas
0-0
Toluca
Rocha (27'), Lozano (59'), Zapata (90+2')
Mora (45+7')
Feb 2, 2023 2.05am
Gameweek 1
Atlas
0-0
Toluca
Jul 10, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 2
Toluca
3-2
Atlas
Fernandez (3'), Navarro (10'), Huerta (15')
Meneses (90+1')
Ruiz (72')
Ocejo (43'), Rocha (84')
Nervo (39'), Zaldivar (41'), Chala (59'), Santamaria (65')
Apr 24, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 16
Toluca
2-4
Atlas
Huerta (4'), Violante (89')
Vanegas (45'), Gonzalez (45')
Vanegas (57')
Rocha (8'), Quinones (45+1', 90+7'), Furch (58' pen.)
Quinones (45+2'), Reyes (60'), Santamaria (72'), Zaldivar (82'), Marquez (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


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