Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 59.72%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.