Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.