Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
