Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.