Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 1-0 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.