Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 21, 2024 at 12.05am UK
Estadio Omnilife
Guadalajara2 - 0Mazatlan
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Mazatlan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Queretaro 0-2 Guadalajara
Wednesday, July 17 at 2am in Liga MX
Wednesday, July 17 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Mazatlan
Thursday, July 18 at 4am in Liga MX
Thursday, July 18 at 4am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 18.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.
Result | ||
CD Guadalajara | Draw | Mazatlan |
58.44% ( -0.12) | 23.25% ( 0.05) | 18.31% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.14% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.95% ( -0.12) | 51.04% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.09% ( -0.1) | 72.9% ( 0.1) |
CD Guadalajara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.81% ( -0.08) | 17.19% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.55% ( -0.15) | 47.45% ( 0.15) |
Mazatlan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.14% ( 0.01) | 41.86% ( -0.01) |