Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Juarez win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.