Monterrey

1 - 2

Toluca

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.