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Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Sep 11, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Akron

Guadalajara
1 - 0
Puebla

Vega (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Maia (20'), Mancuello (45+3'), Silva (66'), Herrera Rodriguez (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tijuana 1-2 Guadalajara
Thursday, September 8 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-2 Pachuca
Thursday, September 8 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawPuebla
45.57% (0.103 0.1) 26.32% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 28.11% (-0.115 -0.11)
Both teams to score 50.34% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.13% (-0.109 -0.11)53.87% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.67% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)75.33% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.42% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.58% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.35% (0.0020000000000024 0)57.65% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87% (-0.149 -0.15)34.13% (0.149 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18% (-0.16 -0.16)70.82% (0.161 0.16)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 45.56%
    Puebla 28.11%
    Draw 26.32%
CD GuadalajaraDrawPuebla
1-0 @ 11.62% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 45.56%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 28.11%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 1am
Guadalajara
2-3
Puebla
Ponce (26'), Vega (41')
Olivas (30'), Calderon (60'), Gudino (70'), Sepulveda (88')
Vega (71')
Aristeguieta (50'), Cortizo (67'), Martinez (78')
Aristeguieta (30')
Nov 21, 2021 3am
Puebla
2-2
Guadalajara
Puebla win 5-5 on penalties
Tabo (20' pen.), Maia (89')
Parra (15'), Gularte (50'), Tabo (65'), Segovia (66')
Brizuela (6'), Mayorga (62')
Sepulveda (18'), Cisneros (39'), Brizuela (49'), Vega (65')
Jul 31, 2021 3.05am
Puebla
0-2
Guadalajara
Mayorga (55'), Brizuela (90+5')
Olivas (25'), Ponce (30'), Brizuela (70')
Jan 9, 2021 1.30am
Puebla
1-1
Guadalajara
Ormeno (37')
de Buen (49'), Paganoni (64')
Ponce (47')
Mier (82')
Aug 9, 2020 3am
Guadalajara
0-1
Puebla

Sepulveda (31')
Torres (35')

Reyes Chavez (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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