Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
Juarez1 - 1Guadalajara
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and CD Guadalajara.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toluca 2-4 Juarez
Sunday, July 16 at 7pm in Liga MX
Sunday, July 16 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-0 Necaxa
Friday, July 14 at 4am in Liga MX
Friday, July 14 at 4am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Juarez | Draw | CD Guadalajara |
32.98% ( -0.09) | 27.89% ( 0.02) | 39.12% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 47.78% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.88% ( -0.08) | 58.12% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.22% ( -0.07) | 78.78% ( 0.06) |
Juarez Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.22% ( -0.11) | 32.78% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.66% ( -0.12) | 69.34% ( 0.11) |
CD Guadalajara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.08% | 28.91% ( -0.01) |