Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 16, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca2 - 4Juarez
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruz Azul 0-2 Toluca
Sunday, July 9 at 12.50am in Liga MX
Sunday, July 9 at 12.50am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Tigres
Sunday, July 9 at 1.06am in Liga MX
Sunday, July 9 at 1.06am in Liga MX
We said: Toluca 2-1 Juarez
Both sides will have confidence and will be keen to extend positive starts, and we see the hosts having enough in their ranks to just get over the line in a tough contest against a resilient Juarez outfit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Juarez |
61.56% ( 0.5) | 21.51% ( -0.16) | 16.94% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 50.88% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
