Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jan 22, 2022 at 3am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan
Mazatlan1 - 2Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mazatlan | Draw | Toluca |
| 40.01% | 26.03% | 33.96% |
| Both teams to score 53.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.44% | 50.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.52% | 72.47% |
| Mazatlan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.11% | 24.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.5% | 59.49% |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% | 28.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.91% | 64.08% |
| Score Analysis |
Mazatlan 40.01%
Toluca 33.96%
Draw 26.02%
| Mazatlan | Draw | Toluca |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 6.82% 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.01% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.96% |
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 5
Toluca
2-2
Mazatlan
Gonzalez (9'), Sambueza (38' pen.)
Barbieri (45+3')
Barbieri (45+3')
Sanvezzo (32'), Emilio Sanchez Castillo (44')
Freitas (58'), Diaz (90+3')
Freitas (58'), Diaz (90+3')
Aug 8, 2020 3.30am
Gameweek 3
Mazatlan
2-1
Toluca
Aristeguieta (14', 29')
Ortiz (40')
Ortiz (40')
Estrada (27')
Lopez (88'), Mora (88')
Lopez (88'), Mora (88')
