Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.