Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 20.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.