Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.