Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 44%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Puebla in this match.