Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.