Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 9, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Danilo Martelli
Mantova2 - 1Carrarese
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Mantova and Carrarese.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salernitana 2-0 Mantova
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie B
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
45
Last Game: Carrarese 2-1 Modena
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie B
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
37
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Carrarese had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Carrarese win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mantova would win this match.
Result | ||
Mantova | Draw | Carrarese |
42.73% (![]() | 26.8% (![]() | 30.47% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.19% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.32% (![]() | 54.68% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24% (![]() | 76% (![]() |
Mantova Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.66% (![]() | 25.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.88% (![]() | 60.12% (![]() |
Carrarese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.23% | 32.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.67% (![]() | 69.33% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Mantova 42.73%
Carrarese 30.47%
Draw 26.8%
Mantova | Draw | Carrarese |
1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.83% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.73% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.3% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.26% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.09% 0-2 @ 5.17% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.47% |
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 2pm