Tigres

2 - 1

Cruz Azul

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.