MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 23:52:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 8
Feb 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
2 - 0
Tijuana

Dominguez (52'), Meneses (63')
Belmonte (16'), Vega (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Castaneda (36'), Diaz (69')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 1-0 Santos Laguna
Thursday, February 22 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 3-3 Tijuana
Saturday, February 17 at 11pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 62.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 17.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawClub Tijuana
62.84% (-0.273 -0.27) 19.63% (0.195 0.2) 17.53% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 58.66% (-0.536 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.62% (-0.776 -0.78)36.38% (0.781 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.49% (-0.853 -0.85)58.52% (0.859 0.86)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.93% (-0.294 -0.29)11.08% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.56% (-0.66 -0.66)35.45% (0.666 0.67)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.97% (-0.378 -0.38)34.04% (0.384 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.28% (-0.412 -0.41)70.72% (0.42 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 62.84%
    Club Tijuana 17.53%
    Draw 19.63%
TolucaDrawClub Tijuana
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.13% (0.127 0.13)
1-0 @ 8.3% (0.217 0.22)
3-1 @ 7.21% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.69% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.62% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 62.84%
1-1 @ 8.94% (0.142 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.77% (0.143 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.63%
1-2 @ 4.82% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.06% (0.114 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 17.53%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 4am
Gameweek 8
Tijuana
2-1
Toluca
Gonzalez (12'), Madrigal (18')
Balanta (74'), Barbosa (83')
Morales (90+6')
Araujo (74'), Morales (81'), Venegas (81'), Volpi (90+8')
Meneses (85')
Mar 18, 2023 3.05am
Aug 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 7
Toluca
3-1
Tijuana
Gonzalez (34'), Meneses (49'), Sanvezzo (90+5' pen.)
Baeza (12')
Lopez (23')
Diaz (29'), Canelo (71'), (90+4')
Diaz (74')
Mar 2, 2022 1am
Gameweek 8
Toluca
1-2
Tijuana
Rivera (39' og.)
Canelo (26'), Castaneda (45+2'), Rodriguez (63')
Ruiz (17'), Montecinos (85')
Montecinos (25'), Rodriguez (30'), Rivera (36'), Orozco (90+3')
Aug 7, 2021 3.06am
Gameweek 3
Tijuana
0-2
Toluca
Tercero (10'), Guzman (61'), Rak (90')
Baeza (65'), Castaneda (75'), Luis Vanegas Zuniga (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
2.30pm
Jets
@
Vikings
6pm
Panthers
@
Bears
6pm
Ravens
@
Bengals
6pm
Colts
@
Jags
6pm
Dolphins
@
Patriots
6pm
Bills
@
Texans
6pm
Browns
@
Washington
9.05pm
Cardinals
@
49ers
9.05pm
Raiders
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Packers
@
Rams
9.25pm
Giants
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul108112381525
2TolucaToluca1063121101121
3Tigres10631146821
4MonterreyMonterrey116321513221
5Club TijuanaTijuana116231717020
6PumasPumas106131410419
7Atletico San Luis115241813517
8CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara10433158715
9Atlas104241215-314
10NecaxaNecaxa10343138513
11Club AmericaAmerica104151212013
12PueblaPuebla113261419-511
13PachucaPachuca112361119-89
14QueretaroQueretaro12237920-119
15MazatlanMazatlan11155813-58
16Club Leon101541016-68
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna10226917-88
18Juarez102171223-117


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!