MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:16:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 7
Feb 19, 2024 at 2.10am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
0 - 0
Toluca

FT

Garcia (71'), Baeza (80')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monterrey 3-0 Comunicaciones
Friday, February 16 at 3.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Toluca 2-3 Herediano
Friday, February 16 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Toluca win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
MonterreyDrawToluca
56% (0.184 0.18) 22.06% (0.193 0.19) 21.93% (-0.379 -0.38)
Both teams to score 57.76% (-1.213 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.88% (-1.358 -1.36)41.12% (1.357 1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.48% (-1.395 -1.4)63.51% (1.396 1.4)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.44% (-0.399 -0.4)14.56% (0.398 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.39% (-0.776 -0.78)42.61% (0.775 0.77)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59% (-1.1 -1.1)32.4% (1.098 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.08% (-1.258 -1.26)68.92% (1.257 1.26)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 56%
    Toluca 21.93%
    Draw 22.06%
MonterreyDrawToluca
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.09% (0.426 0.43)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.63% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.098 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 56%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.285 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.06%
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-1 @ 5.32% (0.168 0.17)
0-2 @ 3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 21.93%

Head to Head
Aug 31, 2023 2am
Gameweek 5
Toluca
1-0
Monterrey
Dominguez (26')
Garcia (9')

Vegas (30'), Gallardo (90+6'), Meza (90+5')
Feb 6, 2023 1.10am
Gameweek 5
Monterrey
2-1
Toluca
Gonzalez (17', 31')
Araujo (62')
Aug 18, 2022 1am
Gameweek 9
Toluca
1-1
Monterrey
Fernandez (38'), Ortega (59')
Vegas (23'), Reyes (31'), Meza (73')
Apr 7, 2022 1am
Gameweek 4
Toluca
2-2
Monterrey
Fernandez (90+10' pen.)
Huerta (12'), Ortega (42'), Rodriguez (89')

Vegas (29'), Janssen (45+2'), Aguirre (90+6'), Montes (90+9')
Sep 23, 2021 1.06am
Gameweek 11
Monterrey
2-0
Toluca
Andrada (77'), Vegas (89')
Cristante (33'), Ortega (40'), Rigonato Rodrigues (86'), Pardo (90+3'), Lopez (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1513113692740
2TolucaToluca1595133141932
3Tigres159332213930
4MonterreyMonterrey168442418628
5Atletico San Luis158252518726
6PumasPumas157441813525
7Club TijuanaTijuana157442123-225
8Club AmericaAmerica157352516924
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara156452214822
10Atlas155551521-620
11Club Leon153842021-117
12PueblaPuebla1642101629-1314
13NecaxaNecaxa153481925-613
14PachucaPachuca153481926-713
15MazatlanMazatlan152761018-813
16Juarez1541102035-1513
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna152491025-1510
18QueretaroQueretaro1523101027-179


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!