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Liga MX | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 4am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
2 - 1
Toluca

Gonzalez (12'), Madrigal (18')
Balanta (74'), Barbosa (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Morales (90+6')
Araujo (74'), Morales (81'), Venegas (81'), Volpi (90+8')
Meneses (85')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Puebla 3-0 Tijuana
Saturday, September 2 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 5-0 Pachuca
Sunday, September 3 at 7pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawToluca
43.46% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 25.2% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 31.34% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.7% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.27% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)47.73% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.07% (-0.023 -0.02)69.92% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.06% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)21.94% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.78% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)55.22% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)28.64% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (0.0010000000000048 0)64.45% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 43.46%
    Toluca 31.34%
    Draw 25.19%
Club TijuanaDrawToluca
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.46%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.34%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3.05am
Aug 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 7
Toluca
3-1
Tijuana
Gonzalez (34'), Meneses (49'), Sanvezzo (90+5' pen.)
Baeza (12')
Lopez (23')
Diaz (29'), Canelo (71'), (90+4')
Diaz (74')
Mar 2, 2022 1am
Gameweek 8
Toluca
1-2
Tijuana
Rivera (39' og.)
Canelo (26'), Castaneda (45+2'), Rodriguez (63')
Ruiz (17'), Montecinos (85')
Montecinos (25'), Rodriguez (30'), Rivera (36'), Orozco (90+3')
Aug 7, 2021 3.06am
Gameweek 3
Tijuana
0-2
Toluca
Tercero (10'), Guzman (61'), Rak (90')
Baeza (65'), Castaneda (75'), Luis Vanegas Zuniga (85')
Jan 31, 2021 3.06am
Gameweek 4
Tijuana
3-2
Toluca
Manotas (13'), Martinez (21'), Sansores (24')
Lorona (43'), Manotas (74'), Tercero (86')
Canelo (37'), Barbieri (53')
Canelo (56'), Torres (67'), Sambueza (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Falcons
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul108112381525
2TolucaToluca1063121101121
3Tigres10631146821
4MonterreyMonterrey116321513221
5PumasPumas106131410419
6Atletico San Luis115241813517
7Club TijuanaTijuana105231516-117
8CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara10433158715
9Atlas104241215-314
10NecaxaNecaxa10343138513
11Club AmericaAmerica104151212013
12PueblaPuebla113261419-511
13PachucaPachuca102351017-79
14Club Leon101541016-68
15Santos LagunaSantos Laguna10226917-88
16QueretaroQueretaro11227718-118
17MazatlanMazatlan10145611-57
18Juarez102171223-117


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