Liga MX | 2nd Leg
May 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca3 - 1Tigres
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Tigres.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tigres 4-1 Toluca
Friday, May 12 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Friday, May 12 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Tigres |
44.36% ( -1.4) | 25.15% ( 0.04) | 30.48% ( 1.36) |
| Both teams to score 55.41% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.08% ( 0.47) | 47.92% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.9% ( 0.44) | 70.1% ( -0.44) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.4% ( -0.44) | 21.6% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.29% ( -0.67) | 54.71% ( 0.67) |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.68% ( 1.19) | 29.32% ( -1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.71% ( 1.44) | 65.29% ( -1.44) |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 44.36%
Tigres 30.48%
Draw 25.15%
| Toluca | Draw | Tigres |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.36% | 1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.48% |
