Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 14, 2024 at 2.10am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca3 - 2Juarez
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 Toluca
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Liga MX
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 2-2 Atlas
Saturday, July 6 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Saturday, July 6 at 4.10am in Liga MX
We said: Toluca 1-1 Juarez
Toluca had a strong showing in the second half of last season, boasting a formidable home record, but they have historically struggled against Juarez. The away side demonstrated their goalscoring ability in their opening match, which could be crucial in securing a point on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Juarez |
62.07% ( 0.41) | 20.26% ( -0.22) | 17.67% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.9% ( 0.68) | 39.1% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.57% ( 0.71) | 61.43% ( -0.71) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.9% ( 0.32) | 12.1% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.35% ( 0.68) | 37.64% ( -0.68) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.47% ( 0.19) | 35.52% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.71% ( 0.2) | 72.29% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 62.07%
Juarez 17.67%
Draw 20.26%
| Toluca | Draw | Juarez |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.91% Total : 62.07% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.26% | 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 17.67% |
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 3.10am
Apr 23, 2023 7pm
Oct 9, 2022 6pm
Jul 30, 2022 3.05am
Form Guide
