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Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 7, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
0 - 0
Toluca


Beltran (45')
FT

Baeza (64'), Pereira (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Toluca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: America 1-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, May 19 at 3am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 0-0 Guadalajara
Sunday, May 12 at 3.10am in Liga MX

We said: CD Guadalajara 2-1 Toluca

 Guadalajara have enjoyed the better of this fixture of late and will have the psychological edge heading into Sunday's game. Nonetheless, we expect a close contest with the hosts just about coming out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
43.09% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05) 25.77% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 31.14% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.71% (-0.338 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (-0.428 -0.43)50.27% (0.43 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (-0.381 -0.38)72.22% (0.384 0.38)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)23.21% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.309 -0.31)57.1% (0.311 0.31)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.95% (-0.245 -0.25)30.05% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.82% (-0.299 -0.3)66.18% (0.301 0.3)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 43.08%
    Toluca 31.14%
    Draw 25.76%
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
1-0 @ 10.18% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 43.08%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 31.14%

How you voted: Guadalajara vs Toluca

CD Guadalajara
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Toluca
14.3%
7
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 3.10am
Toluca
0-0
Guadalajara
Ruiz (45'), Meneses (82'), Vega (83')
Garcia (59')
Rangel (36'), Mozo (45'), Castillo (90+5')
May 9, 2024 2.05am
Guadalajara
1-0
Toluca
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (87')
Gutierrez (90+6')

Garcia (83')
Jan 31, 2024 3.05am
Gameweek 4
Guadalajara
3-2
Toluca
Beltran (1'), Perez (43'), Marin (81')
Orozco (14'), Perez (45+5'), Gutierrez (62'), Castillo (65')
Ruiz (7'), Garcia (45+3')
Belmonte (45+4'), Pereira (45+9'), Angulo (71'), Ruiz (83')
Oct 2, 2023 12.20am
Gameweek 10
Toluca
1-1
Guadalajara
Lopez (62')
Raul (42'), Mosquera (80'), Navarro (90+5')
Marin (69')
Sepulveda (14'), Paunovic (15'), Mozo (54'), Raul Rangel Aguilar (74')
Jan 22, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 3
Guadalajara
1-2
Toluca
Huerta (31' og.)
Gonzalez (60'), Ruiz (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1513113692740
2TolucaToluca1595133141932
3Tigres159332213930
4MonterreyMonterrey168442418628
5Atletico San Luis158252518726
6PumasPumas157441813525
7Club TijuanaTijuana157442123-225
8Club AmericaAmerica157352516924
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara156452214822
10Atlas155551521-620
11Club Leon153842021-117
12PueblaPuebla1642101629-1314
13NecaxaNecaxa153481925-613
14PachucaPachuca153481926-713
15MazatlanMazatlan152761018-813
16Juarez1541102035-1513
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna152491025-1510
18QueretaroQueretaro1523101027-179
> Liga MX Full Table


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