Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atlas 0-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 28 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Sunday, April 28 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
23
Last Game: Toluca 0-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, April 28 at 2am in Liga MX
Sunday, April 28 at 2am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match.
| Result | ||
| CD Guadalajara | Draw | Toluca |
48.6% ( -0.09) | 24.18% ( -0.01) | 27.22% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.48% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
