Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 14, 2024 at 2.05am UK
Estadio Azteca
America5 - 1Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America 5-2 New England
Wednesday, April 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Wednesday, April 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Toluca 4-1 Atlas
Sunday, April 7 at 7pm in Liga MX
Sunday, April 7 at 7pm in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 57.31%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 21.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club America | Draw | Toluca |
57.31% ( -0.4) | 21.24% ( 0.37) | 21.44% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.95% ( -1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
