Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.74%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
21.28% | 22.32% | 56.4% |
Both teams to score 55.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.91% | 43.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.51% | 65.49% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.88% | 34.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.19% | 70.81% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.9% | 15.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.35% | 43.64% |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 5.63% 1-0 @ 5.54% 2-0 @ 2.98% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-2 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.14% Total : 21.28% | 1-1 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 5.32% 0-0 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.31% | 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.74% 0-2 @ 9.21% 1-3 @ 6.24% 0-3 @ 5.8% 2-3 @ 3.35% 1-4 @ 2.95% 0-4 @ 2.74% 2-4 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 1.12% 0-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.73% Total : 56.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 25 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 70 | 24 | 46 | 65 |
2 | Marseille | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 49 |
3 | Nice | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 46 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Lille | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Lyon | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 40 |
8 | Lens | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
9 | Brest | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 36 |
10 | Toulouse | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 34 |
11 | Auxerre | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Rennes | 25 | 9 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
13 | Angers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 27 |
14 | NantesNantes | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 24 |
15 | Reims | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 22 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |