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PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 9, 2021 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Brest logo

PSG
3 - 0
Brest

Kean (16'), Icardi (81'), Sarabia (83')
Verratti (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lasne (76')

Preview: Paris Saint-Germain vs. Brest - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Paris Saint-Germain manager Mauricio Pochettino will aspire to record his first win in the dugout at the second attempt when the Ligue 1 champions welcome Brest to the capital on Saturday.

Les Parisiens played out a 1-1 draw with Saint-Etienne in Pochettino's maiden game in charge, while Brest kept their European hopes alive with a 2-0 win over Nice.


Match preview

Paris Saint-Germain manager Mauricio Pochettino pictured on January 6, 2021© Reuters

Nearly 18 years after turning out in a PSG shirt for the final time as a player, Pochettino took charge of his first game for the perennial Ligue 1 champions on Wednesday, but it was not the fast start that the Argentine was hoping for.

Saint-Etienne could hold almost any side to a draw in their current form, and Les Verts once again claimed a point from a top-flight fixture as both sides notched up a goal apiece on the night.

Romain Hamouma netted first for Saint-Etienne before Moise Kean scored the first goal of the Pochettino era three minutes later, and PSG managed to climb back up to second with that win following Lille's shock defeat at home to Angers.

However, PSG lost more ground on runaway leaders Lyon after their 3-2 win over Lens on Wednesday evening, but Pochettino's side boast a far better goal difference and just need Les Gones to slip up once - which they could very well do against an in-form Rennes - to get back on their perch.

It is an incredible shame that Pochettino's return to the Parc des Princes will be devoid of the 47,000-strong PSG faithful roaring his name, but the 48-year-old will simply be focused on getting his team over the line against a Brest outfit who can certainly cause problems on the attacking front.

Brest coach Olivier Dall'Oglio pictured in January 2020© Reuters

Meanwhile, Brest have epitomised inconsistency during the 2020-21 campaign, but this weekend's visitors to the Parc des Princes kicked off the new year in perfect fashion with a 2-0 victory over a struggling Nice outfit.

Franck Honorat and Steve Mounie got the goals which propelled Olivier Dall'Oglio's men to their eighth victory of the season, and no team outside of the top six has notched up more than Brest's 30 strikes as the season approaches its midway point.

Despite their topsy-turvy form, Brest have only tasted defeat once in their last five league outings and rose to 10th with that triumph after Metz failed to get the better of Bordeaux, and a shock appearance in Europe could be on the cards if Les Pirates can start winning on a regular basis.

However, Dall'Oglio's men possess the third-worst away record in the league ahead of their trip to the capital and have only taken one point from the last nine on offer on unfamiliar turf, although that came in a hard-fought 2-2 draw with Lyon last month.

PSG have eased to victory in their last six meetings with Brest across all competitions, and the Ligue 1 champions have not tasted defeat against their weekend opponents since the 1984-85 campaign.

Paris Saint-Germain Ligue 1 form: WLWDWD
Paris Saint-Germain form (all competitions): WLWDWD

Brest Ligue 1 form: LWDDLW


Team News

Paris Saint-Germain's Neymar reacts after sustaining an injury against Lyon in Ligue 1 on December 13, 2020© Reuters

PSG's medical room is well-occupied at the minute, with star man Neymar still recovering from the ankle injury he sustained against Lyon and compatriot Rafinha out after testing positive for coronavirus.

On a more positive note, Layvin Kurzawa, Alessandro Florenzi and Mauro Icardi could all return here, but the likes of Danilo Pereira, Presnel Kimpembe and Leandro Paredes are still struggling with various injuries.

Wholesale changes on PSG's end are unlikely given their plethora of absentees, but Julian Draxler is vying for a start after making his return from a lengthy layoff.

In contrast, Brest have a relatively clean bill of health for this daunting showdown, with Denys Bain and Jeremy Le Douaron the only two players nursing injuries at the minute.

Dall'Oglio may be tempted to bring Jean-Kevin Duverne back into the defence, but the visiting manager is expected to keep faith in the same XI from the midweek win over Nice.

Paris Saint-Germain possible starting lineup:
Navas; Dagba, Marquinhos, Kehrer, Bakker; Gueye, Herrera, Verratti; Di Maria, Kean, Mbappe

Brest possible starting lineup:
Larsonneur; Pierre-Gabriel, Chardonnet, Herelle, Perraud; Faivre, Lasne, Belkebla, Honorat; Mounie, Cardona


SM words green background

We say: Paris Saint-Germain 3-2 Brest

Brest's effervescent attacking crop can certainly do some considerable damage to PSG's ravaged backline, but the visitors' defensive frailties are evident despite Wednesday's much-needed clean sheet. Les Parisiens boast an incredible record in this fixture and Pochettino will be desperate to get up and running as quickly as possible, so we expect the champions to prevail in what should be a fascinating contest.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 84.16%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 5.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 4-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.64%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: PSG vs Brest

Paris Saint-Germain
86.4%
Draw
10.2%
Brest
3.4%
59
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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