Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg2 - 2Lens
We said: Strasbourg 1-1 Lens
While Lens have been the superior team in this fixture in recent times, their form in the lead-up to this match has been far from convincing. Strasbourg would have received a major boost from last week's victory over Marseille and we feel they will be able to take something from this match as well. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lens |
30.88% ( 0.89) | 26.27% ( 0.43) | 42.84% ( -1.32) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.55% ( -1.38) | 52.44% ( 1.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.88% ( -1.2) | 74.12% ( 1.2) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.66% ( -0.08) | 31.33% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.3% ( -0.09) | 67.69% ( 0.09) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.72% ( -1.25) | 24.28% ( 1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.35% ( -1.8) | 58.64% ( 1.79) |
| Score Analysis |
Strasbourg 30.88%
Lens 42.84%
Draw 26.27%
| Strasbourg | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.88% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.67% Total : 42.84% |
How you voted: Strasbourg vs Lens
Strasbourg
36.5%Draw
40.4%Lens
23.1%52
