Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier3 - 1Brest
We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Brest
Despite being in the bottom half, Brest's start to the Ligue 1 season has been more than respectable considering they are also juggling European commitments, and they will fancy their chances of a fourth straight away win here. All four of Montpellier's points have come at home this season, but the humbling they received from Toulouse in their last outing suggests familiar surroundings may do little to save them here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Brest |
28.97% ( 0.88) | 24.22% ( 0.26) | 46.81% ( -1.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.65% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.42% ( -0.6) | 44.58% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.06% ( -0.59) | 66.95% ( 0.59) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.33% ( 0.32) | 28.67% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.51% ( 0.39) | 64.49% ( -0.39) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( -0.69) | 19.18% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.15% ( -1.16) | 50.85% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC 28.97%
Brest 46.81%
Draw 24.22%
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Brest |
| 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.97% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.81% |
How you voted: Montpellier vs Brest
Montpellier HSC
23.8%Draw
9.5%Brest
66.7%42
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 18
Brest
2-0
Montpellier
Nov 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Montpellier
1-3
Brest
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
Montpellier
1-2
Brest
