Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 11.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 3-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Strasbourg |
73.22% ( 0.48) | 15.76% ( -0.28) | 11.01% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 54.9% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.34% ( 0.83) | 32.65% ( -0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.67% ( 0.96) | 54.32% ( -0.97) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.31% ( 0.29) | 7.68% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.6% ( 0.76) | 27.39% ( -0.77) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.47% ( 0.24) | 40.52% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.87% ( 0.21) | 77.12% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.07) 6-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.43% Total : 73.22% | 1-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.76% | 1-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.43% Total : 11.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |