PSG4 - 2Strasbourg
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
for
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1
for
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Strasbourg
Strasbourg have been one of the overachievers in the early weeks of the campaign, but their away form and record at PSG gives them little chance here. PSG have never lost in 33 previous home clashes with their upcoming opponents, and they are set to maintain their 100% home record so far this season, having already won four from four here in all competitions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 11.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 3-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Strasbourg |
73.22% ( 0.48) | 15.76% ( -0.28) | 11.01% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.9% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.34% ( 0.83) | 32.65% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.67% ( 0.96) | 54.32% ( -0.97) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.31% ( 0.29) | 7.68% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 72.6% ( 0.76) | 27.39% ( -0.77) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.47% ( 0.24) | 40.52% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.87% ( 0.21) | 77.12% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 2-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.07)6-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.05)6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.43% Total : 73.22% | 1-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.76% | 1-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.43% Total : 11.01% |
