Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
Result | ||
Brest | Draw | Le Havre |
58.26% ( 0.1) | 23.62% ( -0.01) | 18.12% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 46.76% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.27% ( -0.1) | 52.72% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.64% ( -0.08) | 74.36% ( 0.08) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.13% | 17.86% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.37% ( 0) | 48.62% ( -0.01) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.93% ( -0.17) | 43.07% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.65% ( -0.15) | 79.35% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Brest | Draw | Le Havre |
1-0 @ 13.24% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 58.24% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 18.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 48 | 16 | 32 | 46 |
2 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Lille | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 32 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Nice | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Lyon | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
7 | Lens | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Brest | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 25 |
10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 24 |
11 | Auxerre | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Reims | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rennes | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 17 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 13 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 12 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |