Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Oct 6, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Brest2 - 0Le Havre
FT(HT: 1-0)
Youte Kinkoue (48')
We said: Brest 1-0 Le Havre
Brest have looked relatively comfortable defensively at home in this competition, and though fatigue might play a factor for them on Sunday, we expect to see them grind out another victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 58.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Le Havre |
58.26% ( 0.1) | 23.62% ( -0.01) | 18.12% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.76% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.27% ( -0.1) | 52.72% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.64% ( -0.08) | 74.36% ( 0.08) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% | 17.86% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.37% ( 0) | 48.62% ( -0.01) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.93% ( -0.17) | 43.07% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.65% ( -0.15) | 79.35% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Brest 58.24%
Le Havre 18.12%
Draw 23.62%
| Brest | Draw | Le Havre |
| 1-0 @ 13.24% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 58.24% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 18.12% |
How you voted: Brest vs Le Havre
Brest
87.2%Draw
12.8%Le Havre
0.0%39
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 2pm
Aug 20, 2023 2pm
Feb 1, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 23
Le Havre
1-1
Brest
Jan 31, 2019
12am
Aug 28, 2018 7pm
Second Round
Le Havre
3-3
Brest
(Aggregate 3-3 | Le Havre win 6-5 on penalties)
Gory (20', 35'), Moussiti-Oko (49')
