Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.