Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Clermont | 37 | -30 | 36 |
17 | Lorient | 37 | -28 | 35 |
18 | Metz | 37 | -29 | 31 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Lens | 37 | 14 | 61 |
8 | Lyon | 37 | 14 | 58 |
9 | Nantes | 37 | 7 | 54 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Lyon |
26.12% | 25.53% | 48.36% |
Both teams to score 51.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.03% | 51.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.29% | 73.71% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.28% | 34.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.56% | 71.44% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.49% | 21.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.44% | 54.56% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 7.9% 2-1 @ 6.42% 2-0 @ 4.18% 3-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.12% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 7.47% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 9.33% 0-2 @ 8.82% 1-3 @ 4.78% 0-3 @ 4.52% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.37% Total : 48.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |