We said: Clermont 2-1 Bordeaux
The differing form of these two sides mean we are predicting a home win on Sunday, with Clermont on the up in recent weeks and Bordeaux in all kinds of trouble.
It remains to be seen how much of an impact that new Bordeaux manager Guion will have on his side's form, but their awful return away from home in recent weeks mean we are sticking with a Clermont win in this big relegation battle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bordeaux had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Bordeaux win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
