Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

Apr 20, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
1 - 0
Metz

Ouattara (90+4')
Laporte (22'), Mendes (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Amadou (36'), Nguette (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

Last Six:

Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Troyes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Troyes	38	-16	38
16	Lorient	38	-28	36
17	Clermont	38	-31	36

Metz

Last Six:

Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Saint-Etienne	38	-35	32
19	Metz	38	-34	31
20	Bordeaux	38	-39	31

A home game against the division's bottom-placed side is as ideal as it gets for Lorient in their efforts to pull clear of the relegation zone. However, they face a Metz outfit who have their backs against the wall, and we think that the visitors will do enough to earn a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lorient in this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Metz
58.51%	23.68%	17.81%

Both teams to score 46.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.62%

53.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.08%

74.91%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.99%

18.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.12%

48.88%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.17%

43.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.02%

79.98%

Score Analysis

Lorient 58.5%

Metz 17.81%

Draw 23.68%

Lorient	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 13.53% 2-0 @ 11.59% 2-1 @ 9.57% 3-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 5.47% 4-0 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.26% 5-0 @ 0.97% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.34% Total : 58.5%	1-1 @ 11.16% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.68%	0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 4.6% 0-2 @ 2.69% 1-3 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.66% Total : 17.81%