Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Jan 23, 2022 at 2pm UK

La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
4 - 2
Lorient

Girotto (39'), Kolo (53'), Bukari (69'), Geubbels (86')
Moutoussamy (45+1'), Da Silva (77'), Appiah (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Moffi (56'), Soumano (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Neither side have been spectacular in the early portion of 2022, but Nantes have looked the more well-balanced of the two, and they tend to react better when facing adversity, whereas Lorient seem to fall apart if things do not go their way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Lorient
53.95%	25.02%	21.03%

Both teams to score 47.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.5%

54.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.14%

75.86%

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.82%

20.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.52%

52.48%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.14%

40.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.57%

77.43%

Score Analysis

Nantes 53.94%

Lorient 21.03%

Draw 25.02%

Nantes	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 13.19% 2-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.63% Total : 53.94%	1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 8.25% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.38% 1-2 @ 5.29% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.26% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.23% Total : 21.03%