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Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nantes

Marseille
3 - 2
Nantes

Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantes 1-1 St Etienne
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions

We said: Marseille 2-1 Nantes

Despite losing in Le Clasique, Marseille will enter the contest full of confidence after winning their last four home games in all competitions, and we think that the hosts have enough quality to edge out Nantes on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawNantes
61.61%22.08%16.31%
Both teams to score 47.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.57%49.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.53%71.47%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46%15.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.53%44.47%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.64%43.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.4%79.6%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 61.6%
    Nantes 16.31%
    Draw 22.07%
MarseilleDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.54%
2-0 @ 11.67%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 6.06%
4-0 @ 3.37%
4-1 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.53%
5-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.18%
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 61.6%
1-1 @ 10.48%
0-0 @ 6.74%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.63%
1-2 @ 4.38%
0-2 @ 2.35%
1-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 16.31%

How you voted: Marseille vs Nantes

Marseille
79.3%
Draw
16.9%
Nantes
3.8%
420
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Nantes
0-1
Marseille

Pallois (14'), Lafont (78')
Pallois (32')
Gerson (30')
Gerson (71'), Gonzalez (78')
Feb 20, 2021 4pm
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Blas (50')
Traore (32'), Castelletto (43'), Chirivella (74'), Bamba (88')
Payet (69')
Gonzalez (88')
Sakai (90+3')
Nov 28, 2020 4pm
Marseille
3-1
Nantes
Thauvin (2'), Payet (35'), Benedetto (60' pen.)
Payet (47'), Rongier (54'), Gonzalez (71'), Strootman (90+3')
Blas (73')
Castelletto (57'), Blas (83')
Feb 22, 2020 4.30pm
Marseille
1-3
Nantes
Sanson (39')
Amavi (44')
Limbombe (34'), Bamba (53'), Gonzalez (90' og.)
Simon (45'), Traore (61'), Girotto (64')
Aug 17, 2019 4.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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