Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille3 - 2Nantes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 38 | 54 | 86 |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
Last Game: Nantes 1-1 St Etienne
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Next Game: PSG vs. Nantes
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Trophee des Champions
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 10 | Lille | 38 | 0 | 55 |
We said: Marseille 2-1 Nantes
Despite losing in Le Clasique, Marseille will enter the contest full of confidence after winning their last four home games in all competitions, and we think that the hosts have enough quality to edge out Nantes on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Nantes |
| 61.61% | 22.08% | 16.31% |
| Both teams to score 47.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.57% | 49.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.53% | 71.47% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% | 15.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.53% | 44.47% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.64% | 43.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.4% | 79.6% |
| Score Analysis |
Marseille 61.6%
Nantes 16.31%
Draw 22.07%
| Marseille | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 12.54% 2-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 6.06% 4-0 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.53% 5-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.12% Total : 61.6% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 6.74% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.07% | 0-1 @ 5.63% 1-2 @ 4.38% 0-2 @ 2.35% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.31% |
How you voted: Marseille vs Nantes
Marseille
79.3%Draw
16.9%Nantes
3.8%420
