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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Marseille
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Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 17, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lorient logo

Marseille
3 - 2
Lorient

Payet (53'), Lirola (56', 90+1')
Balerdi (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moffi (19', 70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLorient
52.79%24.51%22.7%
Both teams to score 50.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.22%50.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.33%72.67%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81%19.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13%50.87%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.92%37.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.13%73.87%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 52.79%
    Lorient 22.7%
    Draw 24.5%
MarseilleDrawLorient
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-0 @ 9.7%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 52.79%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.06%
1-2 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 22.7%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lorient

Marseille
85.1%
Draw
6.4%
Lorient
8.5%
47
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 8
Lorient
0-1
Marseille

Boisgard (20'), Mendes (54'), Gravillon (74'), Pelissier (76')
Balerdi (54')
Benedetto (37'), Gonzalez (56'), Rongier (73')
Mar 5, 2017 2pm
Lorient
1-4
Marseille
Moukandjo (73')
Toure (6'), Peybernes (47')
Rolando (7'), Payet (19'), Thauvin (53'), Sanson (56')
Vainqueur (26')
Aug 26, 2016 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2016 4pm
Lorient
1-1
Marseille
Waris (35')
Gassama (82')
Isla (46')
Silva (67'), Cabella (68')
Oct 18, 2015 1pm
Marseille
1-1
Lorient
Batshuayi (21' pen.)
Rolando (89')
Moukandjo (37')
Bellugou (20'), Abdou Paye (43'), Ndong (82')
rhs 2.0
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Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG65102051516
2MonacoMonaco6510123916
3Marseille6411157813
4Reims6321108211
5Lille6312117410
6Lens624052310
7NantesNantes62319639
8StrasbourgStrasbourg6231121029
9Nice622214688
10Rennes621310917
11Lyon6213812-47
12Auxerre6204812-46
13Brest6204813-56
14Le HavreLe Havre6204713-66
15Toulouse612358-35
16Montpellier HSCMontpellier6114617-114
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne6114317-144
18Angers6024412-82


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