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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 17, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lorient logo

Marseille
3 - 2
Lorient

Payet (53'), Lirola (56', 90+1')
Balerdi (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moffi (19', 70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLorient
52.79%24.51%22.7%
Both teams to score 50.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.22%50.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.33%72.67%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81%19.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13%50.87%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.92%37.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.13%73.87%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 52.79%
    Lorient 22.7%
    Draw 24.5%
MarseilleDrawLorient
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-0 @ 9.7%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 52.79%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.06%
1-2 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 22.7%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lorient

Marseille
Draw
Lorient
Marseille
85.1%
Draw
6.4%
Lorient
8.5%
47
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 8
Lorient
0-1
Marseille

Boisgard (20'), Mendes (54'), Gravillon (74'), Pelissier (76')
Balerdi (54')
Benedetto (37'), Gonzalez (56'), Rongier (73')
Mar 5, 2017 2pm
Lorient
1-4
Marseille
Moukandjo (73')
Toure (6'), Peybernes (47')
Rolando (7'), Payet (19'), Thauvin (53'), Sanson (56')
Vainqueur (26')
Aug 26, 2016 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2016 4pm
Lorient
1-1
Marseille
Waris (35')
Gassama (82')
Isla (46')
Silva (67'), Cabella (68')
Oct 18, 2015 1pm
Marseille
1-1
Lorient
Batshuayi (21' pen.)
Rolando (89')
Moukandjo (37')
Bellugou (20'), Abdou Paye (43'), Ndong (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG33256289345581
2Marseille33195970452562
3MonacoMonaco33187863372661
4Nice33169860411957
5Lille33169850351557
6StrasbourgStrasbourg33169854411357
7Lyon331661163461754
8Brest33155135253-150
9Lens33147123839-149
10Auxerre33119134748-142
11Rennes33132184946341
12Toulouse33109144141039
13Angers33106173251-1936
14Reims3389163245-1333
15NantesNantes33712143652-1633
16Le HavreLe Havre3394203769-3231
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3386193774-3730
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3344252376-5316


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