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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 17, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Lorient logo

Marseille
3 - 2
Lorient

Payet (53'), Lirola (56', 90+1')
Balerdi (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moffi (19', 70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawLorient
52.79%24.51%22.7%
Both teams to score 50.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.22%50.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.33%72.67%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81%19.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13%50.87%
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.92%37.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.13%73.87%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 52.79%
    Lorient 22.7%
    Draw 24.5%
MarseilleDrawLorient
1-0 @ 11.74%
2-0 @ 9.7%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 5.29%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 52.79%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.5%
0-1 @ 7.06%
1-2 @ 5.78%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 22.7%

How you voted: Marseille vs Lorient

Marseille
85.1%
Draw
6.4%
Lorient
8.5%
47
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 8
Lorient
0-1
Marseille

Boisgard (20'), Mendes (54'), Gravillon (74'), Pelissier (76')
Balerdi (54')
Benedetto (37'), Gonzalez (56'), Rongier (73')
Mar 5, 2017 2pm
Lorient
1-4
Marseille
Moukandjo (73')
Toure (6'), Peybernes (47')
Rolando (7'), Payet (19'), Thauvin (53'), Sanson (56')
Vainqueur (26')
Aug 26, 2016 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2016 4pm
Lorient
1-1
Marseille
Waris (35')
Gassama (82')
Isla (46')
Silva (67'), Cabella (68')
Oct 18, 2015 1pm
Marseille
1-1
Lorient
Batshuayi (21' pen.)
Rolando (89')
Moukandjo (37')
Bellugou (20'), Abdou Paye (43'), Ndong (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG25205070244665
2Marseille25154652302249
3Nice25137549301946
4MonacoMonaco25135749321744
5Lille25128540271344
6Lyon25126746311542
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2511773932740
8Lens2510693029136
9Brest25113113840-236
10Toulouse259793227534
11Auxerre2587103638-231
12Rennes2592143536-129
13Angers2576122640-1427
14NantesNantes2559112843-1524
15Reims2557132640-1422
16Le HavreLe Havre2563162451-2721
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815


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