Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
31.28% | 27.92% | 40.8% |
Both teams to score 47.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.43% | 58.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.86% | 79.14% |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.78% | 34.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.08% | 70.91% |
Saint-Etienne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.82% | 28.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.13% | 63.87% |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Saint-Etienne |
1-0 @ 10.34% 2-1 @ 7.02% 2-0 @ 5.54% 3-1 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.29% Total : 31.28% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 12.21% 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 7.74% 1-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.77% Total : 40.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |