Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 51.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 22.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.